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Dow Theory
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- Related Links:
- DJX put/call ratios
Charles Dow one hundred years ago fashioned the idea that the stock market would
continue to move higher if two sectors of the market moved commensurately. The
two sectors are the Industrials and Transportation. This simple observation has
captured the minds of many on wall street and is nutured by none other than the
"Wall Street Journal". (Did you ever wonder why on the inside they have charts
of the DowJones Industrials, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow Jones Utilites?)
Needless to say, many investors follow this simple roadmap, and in concert,
act to move the market. So as a smaller investor you need to periodicly review
Charles Dow's relationship. Below are the only charts you need to follow his
advise. Please note that the charts below are all daily high-low-close
charts.
For more details regarding Dow Theory, visit the following
links:
- Dow Theory by Stockcharts.com
- Dow Theory by incrediblecharts.com
For more information regarding the Dow Jones Indices and hostorical changes to the Dow visit:
Dow Jones & Company
For a little technical analaysis history lesson:
- Dow Theory History by DowTheoryLetters.com
- Dow Theory History by Fools.com
Quotations
Price Data:
Be aware that the Dow Jones Industrial Average daily prices can be found in
two forms -the actual price and the theoretical price. This means that all
quotes are not interchangeable. However, prior to January 1992 the Dow Jones
Industrial Average was primarily quoted in the theoretical format. Rarely were
actual prices published as the DJIA was not updated throughout the day in
real-time. If actual prices were quoted, they were computed by a data supplier
and proprietory to that data supplier.
Volume Data:
A word about DJIA quotations found on the web. For those of you attempting to
create your own Dow charts from data on the web, here's a short review of the
following web source's data:
- Yahoo's historical data - INACCURATE! The daily
volume posted resembles the NYSE trading volume if mulitplied by a factor of
1000. In addition, the monthly volume doesn't match the daily volumes posted.
- MSN.com historical data - INACCURATE! Their daily
quotations are the same as Yahoo's daily quotations except that MSN's
quotes show the volume to be in the billion share range. Also annoying is that
some days are off by a factor of 1000 so you have to correct some of the daily
data. Regardless, these daily quotes are wrong. On the plus side, the monthly
data is consistent with the daily data posted. And while this is better than
Yahoo's monthly data, it still is the wrong data. The daily data doesn't
represent the daily trading volume of the DJIA. At this time, the most likely
guess is that it is the NYSE's trading volume.
- Bigcharts.com historical data - OK within 3%. This is
the most accurate source for FREE historical daily quotes, but the daily
volumes are somewhat error prone. However, these errors are typcially within
3% of the actual volumes. At this time, it is known if they represent
corrected or adjusted data, or if some days are off by 3%.
-
Prophet.net charts of the DJ30 - INACCURATE! Their interactive chart of the
DJ30 shows the NYSE daily volume rather than the DJIA's trading volume.
- Bloomberg.com - ACCURATE! This is a reliable source
for the DJIA's trading volume. However, they to not post historical data. Only
the current day's data is available. They post regular trading hours volume.
- Quote.com - ACCURATE! This is a reliable source for
the DJIA's trading volume. However, they to not post historical data. Only the
current day's data is available. They post regular trading hours volume.
- MarketVolume.com - OK, but different data is used.
This site posts an aggregate total trading volume from all exchanges
including pre-market and after-market hours. So this figure is typically
higher.
- CNNmoney money.cnn.com - Delayed but accurate. They post regular trading
hours volume 1 to 2 minutes after eSignal.com.
Summary: Bloomberg.com, and Quote.com are
accurate sources. Marketvolume.com is also accurate but includes volume from
everywhere and from pre and post market hours. CNNmoney is also an alternate
site for reliable free DJIA quotes.